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February 4, 2025 at 10:21 PM

What do Americans think about Musk's attempts to cut government?

A 538 politics chat on Elon Musk and the Department of Government Efficiency.
February 4, 2025 at 10:21 PM
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
February 3, 2025 at 5:01 PM

How qualified are Trump's cabinet picks?

The experience and career paths of President Donald Trump's Cabinet picks.
February 3, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Tulsi Gabbard, Marco Rubio, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Pete Hegseth took different paths to Donald Trump's administration.
January 31, 2025 at 1:07 AM

How Americans feel about Republicans' proposed health care cuts

Polling shows Medicaid and other federal health programs are widely popular.
January 31, 2025 at 1:07 AM
Medicaid and other government-sponsored health programs are popular among Americans across the political spectrum.
January 29, 2025 at 5:57 PM

What polling tells us about Americans' support for Trump's mass deportations

What polling tells us about Americans' support for President Donald Trump's mass deportations.
January 29, 2025 at 5:57 PM
U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents conduct an arrest as part of President Donald Trump's wide-ranging immigration crackdown in Chicago, Illinois, January 26, 2025 in a still image from video.
January 28, 2025 at 6:08 PM

No, Trump can't cancel the 2028 election. But he could still weaken democracy.

Experts say Donald Trump faces fewer barriers to consolidating power in his second term.
January 28, 2025 at 6:08 PM
President Donald Trump holds up an executive order commuting sentences for people convicted of Jan. 6 offenses in the Oval Office of the White House, Jan. 20, 2025, in Washington.
January 28, 2025 at 5:23 PM

Introducing 538's presidential approval polling average for Donald Trump

Introducing 538's new average of President Donald Trump's job approval rating.
January 28, 2025 at 5:23 PM
Donald Trump starts his term with a positive net approval rating.
January 27, 2025 at 3:28 PM

What we saw during Trump's first week in office

President Donald Trump's first week in office focused on immigration over the economy and continued to play to his base.
January 27, 2025 at 3:28 PM
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
January 24, 2025 at 7:35 PM

What the polls say about Trump's executive actions

Americans support Donald Trump’s immigration policies, but not much else.
January 24, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
January 24, 2025 at 5:32 PM

How Biden reshaped the judiciary

President Joe Biden's judicial appointees were the most diverse ever, but Donald Trump's remain more influential.
January 24, 2025 at 5:32 PM
President Joe Biden appointed slightly more federal judges than President-elect Donald Trump did during his first term.
January 21, 2025 at 6:06 PM

The 10 state legislative chambers that could flip in 2024

Alaska, Arizona, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are hosting competitive races for state legislative chambers in 2024.
January 21, 2025 at 6:06 PM
The 2024 election has a number of highly-contested races for state legislatures around the country.
January 21, 2025 at 2:06 PM

How Americans are reacting to the Los Angeles wildfires

Polling shows many Americans blame climate change for the Los Angeles wildfires.
January 21, 2025 at 2:06 PM
A utilities worker views damage from the Palisades Fire, in the Pacific Palisades neighborhood of Los Angeles, on Jan. 12, 2025.
January 17, 2025 at 9:59 PM

What can we expect from Trump's first 100 days?

He's vowed mass deportations, travel bans and expanded oil drilling.
January 17, 2025 at 9:59 PM
President-elect Donald Trump speaks to members of the media during a press conference at the Mar-a-Lago Club, Jan. 7, 2025, in Palm Beach, Fla.
January 17, 2025 at 9:43 PM

Democrats aren't alone — incumbent parties have lost elections all around the world

Democrats were just one of the many incumbent parties around the globe that lost ground in 2024 elections.
January 17, 2025 at 9:43 PM
Democrats were just one of the many incumbent parties around the globe that lost ground in 2024.
January 17, 2025 at 9:43 PM

2024 has fewer polls, but they are higher quality

How polling in 2024 compares with other recent election cycles.
January 17, 2025 at 9:43 PM
The 2024 election cycle has fewer polls than past years, but data suggests that they're of higher quality.
January 17, 2025 at 9:42 PM

How redistricting could play a key role in the fight to control the House in 2024

Five states redrew their district lines and the changes could impact who wins the House in the 2024 election.
January 17, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Congressional redistricting in North Carolina, New York, Louisiana, Alabama and Georgia could affect the race to control the U.S. House of Representatives in 2024
January 17, 2025 at 9:41 PM

Black and Arab American voters could swing Michigan's 2024 election

538 does its third deep dive into polling and other data in the seven swing states with Michigan, which is dependent on Black and Arab American voters.
January 17, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Michigan is a pivotal swing state in the 2024 presidential election.
January 17, 2025 at 9:40 PM

Progressive organizations were forced to play defense in the 2024 primaries

Progressive candidates won most of the open primary races they ran in for U.S. Senate, House and governor in 2024.
January 17, 2025 at 9:40 PM
538 tracked how candidates endorsed by major progressive groups did in 2024 Democratic primaries.
January 17, 2025 at 9:39 PM

Americans really love their governors

America’s governors are popular, but just how popular?
January 17, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Vermont Gov. Phil Scott is one of the most popular governors in the country, while Mississippi Gov. Tate Reeves is one of the least.
January 17, 2025 at 9:39 PM

What 8 potential Kamala Harris VP picks bring to the table

Breaking down eight possible candidates for Kamala Harris's VP pick.
January 17, 2025 at 9:39 PM
Mark Kelly, Josh Shapiro, Andy Beshear and Roy Cooper are on the list of potential Democratic vice presidential picks.
January 17, 2025 at 9:38 PM

Why the Supreme Court tends to release unpopular decisions late in its term

The Supreme Court tends to release unpopular opinions later in its term.
January 17, 2025 at 9:38 PM
The Supreme Court tends to release unpopular decisions later in its term.
January 17, 2025 at 9:36 PM

How often every member of Congress voted with Biden in 2023

How often did Senate and House Democrats and Republicans vote with President Joe Biden in 2023?
January 17, 2025 at 9:36 PM
How often did members of Congress vote in line with President Joe Biden's position in 2023?
January 17, 2025 at 9:36 PM

Can a busy campaign schedule save Trump's GOP primary opponents?

538 tracked which GOP primary candidates are holding the most campaign events in Iowa and New Hampshire.
January 17, 2025 at 9:36 PM
For the past several months, researchers at 538 and campaign embeds at ABC News have logged every public campaign event held by a major Republican candidate for president as they crisscross states such as Iowa and New Hampshire.
January 17, 2025 at 9:33 PM

These under-the-radar 2024 elections could have a big impact

The under-the-radar elections to watch in 2024.
January 17, 2025 at 9:33 PM
There are a number of under-the-radar elections to keep an eye on in 2024.
January 17, 2025 at 9:33 PM

What do Americans think of the Biden impeachment inquiry?

Americans narrowly support the House opening an impeachment inquiry into President Joe Biden, but oppose actual impeachment.
January 17, 2025 at 9:33 PM
President Joe Biden delivers remarks on artificial intelligence in the Roosevelt Room at the White House in Washington, July 21, 2023.
January 17, 2025 at 5:38 PM

Who were the strongest Senate and House candidates of 2024?

538 looks at the 2024 election results to see which Senate and House candidates were the strongest and weakest.
January 17, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Larry Hogan, Jon Tester and Amy Klobuchar were some of the strongest candidates for Congress in 2024.
January 13, 2025 at 6:25 PM

Why Trump is getting more popular

Donald Trump's favorability rating and popularity are near a record high.
January 13, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Donald Trump's favorability rating is on the rise.
1 month ago

Why the speaker vote should still worry Mike Johnson

Which Republicans initially opposed Mike Johnson for speaker of the House?
1 month ago
Rep. Mike Johnson talks to Rep. Steve Scalise and other fellow Representatives as the House votes for Speaker of the House on the first day of the 119th Congress in the House Chamber of the U.S. Capitol, Jan. 3, 2025, in Washington.
1 month ago

Key elections to watch in 2025

Races for governor, mayor and U.S. House special elections will be in the spotlight in 2025.
1 month ago
Open gubernatorial contests in Virginia and New Jersey are among the key elections that will be held in 2025.
1 month ago

What I got wrong in 2024

Senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich roasts his predictions from 2024.
1 month ago
538’s Nathaniel Rakich makes a lot of predictions — here are the ones in 2024 that didn’t quite pan out the way he thought.
1 month ago

Jimmy Carter was ahead of his time on energy (and craft brewing)

Jimmy Carter's presidency in four charts.
1 month ago
President Jimmy Carter speaks in front of Solar Panels placed on West Wing Roof of White House, announcing his solar energy policy, Washington, D.C., June 20, 1979.
1 month ago

How will Jimmy Carter be remembered?

538 analysts discuss President Jimmy Carter's legacy.
1 month ago
Examining former President Jimmy Carter’s legacy.
1 month ago

26 charts that helped explain 2024 in politics

The best charts 538 made in 2024.
1 month ago
538's visual journalists were hard at work in 2024.
2 months ago

Why most of Trump's Cabinet picks will get confirmed by the Senate

Why most of Donald Trump's Cabinet picks will probably be confirmed.
2 months ago
Will Trump's Cabinet nominees get confirmed?
2 months ago

Why abortion didn't lead Democrats to victory in the 2024 election

Why abortion didn't lead to a Democratic win in the 2024 election.
2 months ago
Abortion didn't affect the 2024 election as much as Democrats hoped.
2 months ago

Our 2024 Superlatives | 538 politics podcast

On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew makes a yearbook and assigns superlatives.
2 months ago
On this end-of-2024 installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew makes a yearbook and assigns superlatives.
2 months ago

Americans are unhappy with the state of health care and insurance

538's polling column about the state of health care, voters' trust in the 2024 election results and President Joe Biden's approval rating.
2 months ago
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
2 months ago

Where have all the Democrats gone?

Which counties swung right in the 2024 election?
2 months ago
How every county shifted from the 2020 to 2024 election.
2 months ago

After the 2024 election, Democrats are at a steep disadvantage in the Senate

Why it's hard for Democrats to win elections for U.S. Senate control.
2 months ago
Democrats are at a disadvantage in the Senate.
2 months ago

America's swing to the right in 2024 was wide, if not always deep

Trump gained ground in every state and most counties in the 2024 election compared to 2020.
2 months ago
The 2024 election saw a broad swing to the right in how states and counties voted compared to 2020.
2 months ago

Trump's Cabinet woes are back, earlier than ever

President-elect Donald Trump could break the record for most failed Cabinet nominations to start a term.
2 months ago
Pete Hegseth, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee for secretary of defense, and his wife Jennifer Rauchet arrive for meetings on Capitol Hill, Dec. 9, 2024, in Washington.
2 months ago

Why Democrats now support the Hunter Biden pardon

538's polling column about President Joe Biden's pardon of his son, Sarah McBride's favorability and the future of America.
2 months ago
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
2 months ago

Has the number of women in Congress hit a ceiling?

Neither party made significant gains in 2024, and Republican women still lag behind.
2 months ago
Mariannette Miller-Meeks, Kristen McDonald Rivet, Janelle Bynum, Marie Gluesenkamp Perez  and Jen Kiggans were among the women who won highly competitive House elections in 2024.
2 months ago

Why Republicans start out as favorites in the 2026 Senate elections

Democrats need to flip four Senate seats in 2026 to reclaim a majority, but have few clear targets.
2 months ago
At least 35 seats in the U.S. Senate are expected to be up for election in November 2026.
2 months ago

Republicans won the House. Now comes the hard part.

As of Wednesday at 2:30 p.m. Eastern, ABC News is reporting that Republicans have won at least 218 seats in the next House and Democrats have won at least 208.
2 months ago
Republicans are set to control a very narrow majority in the U.S. House of Representatives following the 2024 election.
2 months ago

The 2024 presidential election was close, not a landslide

Donald Trump's close win over Kamala Harris in the 2024 election hasn't stopped him from claiming a mandate.
2 months ago
President-elect Donald Trump's 2024 win was historically narrow.
2 months ago

The congressional bathroom ban is the latest transgender policy battle

538's polling column about Republicans' transgender bathroom bans, Trump's transition, trust in polls and Thanksgiving plans.
2 months ago
Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls.
2 months ago

How pollsters' methodology may have changed

538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
2 months ago
538’s Galen Druke and The New York Times's Ruth Igielnik weigh in on whether pollsters changed their strategy in the last election cycle.
2 months ago

What the 2024 election tells us about past elections

538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
2 months ago
538’s Galen Druke and the panel discuss what conclusions can be drawn from the 2024 presidential election and if it can tell us more about the 2016 and 2020 elections.
2 months ago

Gaetz is out. Will Trump's other Cabinet picks be confirmed?

Matt Gaetz has withdrawn, but will other Trump Cabinet nominees have trouble with confirmation?
2 months ago
Welcome to 538's latest politics chat.
3 months ago

What the gender gap tells us about Trump's win

Donald Trump's appeals to young men and men of color in the 2024 election campaign may have paid off.
3 months ago
Donald Trump once again saw notably higher support among men than women in 2024.